Público and CNN Portugal report analysts expect abstention to fall in this presidential election, citing two features of the race that typically increase participation — including stronger mobilisation among younger voters. The forecast suggests turnout could alter campaign calculations and the likelihood of a second round. Political observers and campaign teams should watch turnout patterns, particularly among young and first-time voters.

Update: Mid‑afternoon turnout data (45.51% by 16:00) reported by CNN Portugal and Expresso indicates participation is substantially higher than expected at this stage and is the strongest mid‑afternoon rate in about 20 years. Political strategists and journalists should watch whether higher participation changes the odds of a second round.

Público summarises practical voting information for the presidential ballot: polling stations are open from 08:00 to 19:00 across Portugal and voters must bring a photo ID such as the national ID card (cartão de cidadão), citizen card/identity document (BI), passport or driving licence. Voters can confirm their polling location via the electoral register (recenseamento.pt), by sending SMS to 3838 or contacting the official helpline. Residents who are unsure where to vote should check recenseamento.pt before heading to the polls.

Update: By 16:00 official figures cited by CNN Portugal put turnout at about 45.51% — the fastest participation rate at that hour since 2006 — and multiple outlets note more than 11 million voters were called to the polls today with 11 candidates on the ballot. Polling stations opened at 08:00 in mainland Portugal and Madeira, with the Azores starting an hour later; candidates and party leaders repeatedly urged citizens to vote. Voters and volunteers should expect extended coverage and local queuing at busy sections.

Campaigners made their final appeals across the country as the presidential campaign wound down, with most candidates concentrating events in Lisbon ahead of voting on 18 January. Outlets report eleven candidates criss‑crossing the country and close polling in some matchups, increasing the chance of a second round (segunda volta) if no candidate wins an absolute majority. Voters and teams should check polling logistics and opening hours for Sunday, and watch for any late endorsements or tactical appeals that could influence tight races.

Update: Major outlets provided minute‑by‑minute live coverage and in‑depth wrap pieces on the campaign's last day — including Público predictions, ECO's 50‑image campaign gallery, Observador behind‑the‑scenes reporting and Correio da Manhã's review of five defining cases — while some outlets note 11 active campaigners on the road though 13 names appear on some ballot papers.

Analysts presented multiple plausible second‑round (segunda volta) scenarios that would shape alliances and the tone of the presidency after 18 January, with different matchups signalling varied policy directions and voter priorities. Coverage notes that each scenario would prompt distinct endorsement dynamics and tactical voting decisions in the days after the first round. Those tracking the election outcome should watch candidate statements and party endorsements closely for signals about post‑vote alignments.

On the penultimate day of a Porto‑focused campaign, Mendes — the candidate backed by the PSD and CDS — intensified calls for voters to concentrate their ballots next Sunday, warning that the result must not be left to chance. He framed the vote as decisive for who will occupy Belém and criticised the broader presidential campaign as lacking substantive policy ideas, arguing it is time to end an empty contest and consolidate support behind a clear alternative. The intervention underlines a tactical push for vote consolidation and a critique of opponents’ absence of coherent presidential proposals.

The presidential campaign skirted constitutional debate, focusing on policy and partisan positioning more suited to a head-of-government race than a head-of-state contest. António José Seguro — the Socialist-backed candidate — presents himself as the moderate alternative and argues the Constitution need not be revised, only respected; meanwhile Luís Montenegro will run as his party’s candidate. The piece argues the Republic needs a president who acts as a moderator, respects institutional limits and upholds the separation of powers.

A DN/Aximage poll finds Socialist candidate Seguro leading Ventura by 20 percentage points in a hypothetical second-round (run-off) contest. Commentary in the piece highlights tactical voting for Seguro to block the right, the extreme or the current government, warns that a Ventura vs Cotrim run-off would be damaging for the right, and reports Ventura dismissing calls for Montenegro’s backing while claiming stronger polling levels.

Multiple outlets report that Seguro is campaigning to enter the presidential second round in first place as a strategy to block what he calls an “extremist” candidate, while also saying he refuses to “wade into the mud” of negative campaigning. The coverage frames his pitch as appealing to tactical voters who want to prevent an extremist candidate reaching the presidency. Voters and political observers should note tactical-vote messaging may intensify in coming days.

Day nine of the Tracking Poll, reported by Pedro Benevides, shows a growing three-way dynamic in the Portuguese presidential race: António José Seguro, André Ventura and João Cotrim de Figueiredo are pulling ahead of Henrique Gouveia e Melo and Luís Marques Mendes. The pattern suggests the contest may crystallise into a three-way fight in the final campaign days, and — with the exception of Chega's leader — most main contenders have yet to secure full backing from their own bases.

David Pontes argues that the so-called elections for the presidencies of the CCDRs are a façade: party leaders pick office-holders behind closed doors, depriving voters and local stakeholders of genuine choice. The editorial contends this practice undermines democratic legitimacy, concentrates power within party machines and weakens accountability in regional policy, and calls for transparent, competitive selection procedures and broader electoral reform.

João Cotrim de Figueiredo’s campaign, which had been gaining momentum, suffered a serious setback after a strategic misstep on second-round strategy and the resurfacing of a harassment allegation on social media. By not ruling out support for Ventura, Cotrim exposed himself to attacks and fractured the narrative of steady progress; the harassment allegation — reportedly known within Iniciativa Liberal for two years — compounded the damage and prompted him to decry ‘low‑level’ and ‘dirty’ politics. The episode shifted the campaign’s focus onto Cotrim personally, energised opponents and risked undoing recent gains as rivals consolidated backing ahead of a possible second round.

Daily polling covered by CNN Portugal and Observador shows Admiral Henrique Gouveia e Melo falling out of the early statistical tie for the lead, leaving three candidates contesting top positions and a different candidate (listed as Seguro) taking the polling advantage. Gouveia e Melo continues campaigning with message of institutional loyalty and has said he could form a good team with Luís Montenegro; market events and local interactions show shifting voter preferences. Residents following the election should watch for rapid movement in the polls as campaigning intensifies and for any signals of tactical endorsements.

Campaign reporting shows André Ventura (Chega) saying João Cotrim de Figueiredo's support in a possible second round is “natural” while also downplaying its importance; commentators note Cotrim has significantly influenced the campaign narrative and media coverage. Outlets add that other figures such as Gouveia e Melo have commented they are not surprised by possible tactical alignments. For expats: watch second‑round dynamics — endorsements and tactical voting talk can shift campaign messaging quickly and affect turnout and debate tone.

Update: Multiple outlets report João Cotrim de Figueiredo wrote to PSD leader Luís Montenegro after a Católica University poll, asking the PSD to back him or recommend a PSD vote for his candidacy in order to prevent either the PS or Chega candidate reaching the presidency; the letter quotes Sá Carneiro and comes as other campaign figures try to counter poll momentum. This formal appeal intensifies tactical-vote manoeuvring in the final days of the campaign.

On the ninth day of the official presidential campaign most candidates focused their activities in Portugal’s interior, campaigning across almost the entire mainland. The concentration in rural and regional areas indicates a deliberate strategy to court voters outside major urban centres, raise visibility in less-served communities and address local issues that could prove decisive in a fragmented race. Political observers interpret the interior push as an effort to broaden appeal beyond traditional strongholds and capture swing support.

António José Seguro has launched an appeal to moderate and centrist voters, presenting himself as a calm but courageous alternative in the final week of the campaign. He is asking moderates to move behind him and stressing measured, responsible leadership. Expats following the race should watch whether his appeal shifts centrist support ahead of the first-round vote.

Presidential candidate Luís Marques Mendes appealed to undecided voters ahead of the 18 January vote, presenting himself as the candidate of experience and stability and saying undecided voters will determine the outcome. He told supporters he is confident of finishing first and urged voters to choose the most prepared candidate. Expats following the campaign should note shifting appeals to undecided voters may change polling dynamics ahead of the likely second-round contest.

Update: Marques Mendes has directly challenged the Health Minister, demanding public explanations about failings in emergency departments and the state of the National Health Service (Serviço Nacional de Saúde or SNS). Several outlets report he travelled with ministers and local figures (including Rui Moreira) while criticising health-service performance — a clear attempt to make healthcare a campaign focal point. Expats should note healthcare is being used as a campaign issue and to check local guidance if policy proposals affect access or services.

At a campaign dinner in Lousã (Coimbra), presidential candidate Luís Marques Mendes presented a deliberate profile of a ‘firm but calm’ Presidency in Belém, arguing that steadiness and measured leadership are what the office requires. Positioning himself as a reassuring, experienced alternative, Mendes signalled an appeal to centrist and undecided voters and claimed he is in ‘pole position’ to reach the second round — an implicit campaign strategy to consolidate support ahead of a likely two‑stage contest. The remarks underscore a campaign focused on stability, competence and broadening appeal rather than polarising rhetoric.

António José Seguro presented his honorary committee and national campaign team and will hold a rally in Leiria as he renewed an appeal for tactical voting. He warned that without strategic consolidation the left risks being excluded from the second round, portraying the moment as a 'point of no return', while PS figures such as José Luís Carneiro positioned Seguro as a potential swing vote. The report also explains the concept of tactical voting in the first round and notes Seguro's pledge to occupy the presidency with dignity and without political theatre.