PÚBLICO/RTP poll: Seguro is the favourite, but is there a chance of an upset?

Polls, however sophisticated, capture trends, not certainties.

Putin and Trump are the least popular leaders among the Portuguese

An opinion poll by Intercampus analysed the 'unpopularity' of world leaders among the Portuguese. 83% of respondents disapprove of Putin's actions, while 70% view Trump negatively.

Putin and Trump are the world leaders least popular with the Portuguese, according to a poll

Tied for last place on this unfavourable 'podium' were Xi Jinping and Benjamin Netanyahu.

1st Putin; 2nd Trump; 3rd Xi and Netanyahu — study reveals these are the world leaders the Portuguese dislike most

This is an analysis of world leaders.

Abstention, the spectre that threatens forecasts for Sunday's election

For this episode we invited João António, director of the Centre for Opinion Studies and Polling at the Catholic University of Portugal (CESOP).

Neutrality

Is it possible that the leader of Portugal's largest party and the Prime Minister can be neutral on an issue like this? Does he realise what this position reveals about his lack of courage?

Vamos a Votos. Feet of clay, heartache and... 'to hell with the elections!'

It's early voting day.

How to defeat Ventura: give him Belém

Ventura without a permanent microphone is Ventura without fuel. Ventura burdened with institutional duties is Ventura without profitable rebellion. But this requires thinking two moves ahead.

Tracking poll, day 5: Seguro and Ventura lose ground. Who wins then?

This is the first poll conducted entirely after the televised debate between Seguro and Ventura. The figures bring bitter news for both presidential candidates. Technical details Over three days (28, 29 and 30 January 2026) Pitagórica collected a minimum of 202 to 203 interviews per day (depending on quota adjustments) for TVI, CNN Portugal, TSF and JN to ensure a daily sub-sample representative of the Portuguese electoral universe (non-probability). The sampling criteria were gender, three age groups and 20 geographic strata (districts plus Madeira and the Azores). The aggregation of the last three days of fieldwork resulted in a sample of 608 interviews which, for a confidence level of 95.5%, corresponds to a maximum margin of error of ±4.06%. Respondents were selected through random generation of mobile phone numbers, maintaining the proportion of the three main mobile operators. When necessary, landline numbers were randomly selected to support the sampling plan. Interviews were conducted by telephone using CATI (Computer Assisted Telephone Interviewing). The study aims to assess Portuguese voters' opinions on issues related to the Presidential elections, namely the main protagonists, campaign moments and the voting intentions for the various candidates. There were 1,261 contact attempts to achieve 608 completed interviews, giving a response rate of 47.87%. The allocation of undecided voters is done proportionally. The technical direction of the study is the responsibility of Rita Marques da Silva. The full technical sheet and all results have been filed with the ERC — the Regulatory Authority for the Media — which will make them available online for consultation.

Presidential elections. 'The People against the Elites'

These presidential elections could be the moment to hear the 'bell' that rings within us, telling us to think for ourselves and not be afraid to take risks.

Luís Pedro Nunes: "The Portuguese cannot bring themselves to admit they are among the lowest in Europe"

“We've reached something because there are others who keep growing and we...,” the commentator added on 'Irritações'.

Lusophone Barometer paints an unprecedented picture of Portuguese‑speaking societies

An unprecedented survey reveals priorities, concerns and visions for the future across Portuguese‑speaking countries.

What if it were possible to make history in reverse?

There are, however, refrains that recur among many: not wanting the PS (Socialist Party) back, not wanting socialism back, and never wanting another 'geringonça' in the country.

Tracking poll, second round, day 2: a third of votes for Seguro are against Ventura, a quarter of votes for Ventura are against Seguro

Seguro continues to lead comfortably in voting intentions. Daily polling shows the firmness of voting intentions but also the reasons for mobilisation behind each candidate. See all the data here.

Presidential election: Gouveia e Melo reveals his second-round vote this week and divides supporters

Gouveia e Melo says he will disclose how he voted in this week's presidential run-off — a decision that has split his backers.

Portugal is the Portuguese-speaking country most concerned about disinformation

The most-watched presidential debate: Seguro vs Ventura with 3.2 million viewers

The broadcasts on the three channels were the day's most-watched programmes. The second-round debate recorded the highest viewership in this presidential election.