The Draghi Report's ambitions force Europe to confront uncomfortable realities: it is falling significantly behind global competitors. The analysis argues that the ‘race’ has been underway for years and that closing the gap requires urgent, active policy choices — including structural reforms, targeted investment and a renewed focus on competitiveness across the single market.

The Finance Minister will be at next week's annual meeting of the World Economic Forum in Davos, and will use the presence of policymakers and investors to 'sell' the progress the national economy has made in recent years. In remarks to ECO, Joaquim Miranda Sarmento highlights this year's event theme, ...

Portuguese Prime Minister António Costa defended the EU–Mercosur agreement as a historic deal and rejected European criticism as based on a “totally wrong perception”. Costa framed the pact as both a trade and an investment agreement, arguing it does not simply favour Europe. His remarks come after the 27 EU member states reached a qualified majority to approve the accord; Brazil’s president Jair Bolsonaro? No — the content states Brazil’s president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva will not attend the signing ceremony in Paraguay as the long-delayed pact moves into the ratification phase in Europe.

Update: Diário de Notícias reports that António Costa will attend the signing ceremony in Asunción and reiterated that concerns about farmers’ opposition are misplaced, saying the agreement includes safeguards for European agriculture.

Update 2: Additional coverage quotes Costa saying criticisms rest on a “completely wrong perception” and using the image of the EU and Mercosur “building bridges” rather than raising barriers; RTP and Expresso note he continues to portray the pact as both trade and investment, emphasising expected benefits for Portuguese exporters.

Portuguese exports to the four Mercosur countries amount to just 1.3% of the country’s total, with Brazil alone representing 95% of that small share. With a market of nearly 300 million people, Portuguese business leaders view the bloc as largely unexplored terrain offering significant scope for export diversification, new investments and deeper trade ties — particularly beyond Brazil — but realising this opportunity will require targeted commercial strategies and stronger economic engagement across Mercosur members.

The Development Bank has budgeted €4 billion in guarantees to finance construction, refurbishment and support for housing cooperatives aimed at delivering more affordable homes, according to reporting on the plan. Observers note the measure fills a recent policy gap after a year with few sector‑specific supports and is intended to leverage private lending. Those looking for affordable purchase or cooperative housing should monitor forthcoming programme details and application windows.

The Canadian rating agency DBRS left Portugal's credit rating unchanged at its recent review and kept the outlook stable, citing continued fiscal progress and a path to a budget surplus in 2025. Outlets note this follows DBRS's upgrade to 'A (high)' last year and is consistent with other recent assessments of Portuguese public finances. Borrowers, investors and anyone monitoring mortgage or bond markets should see this as a sign of continued credit stability.

ECO reports the Euribor moved higher for the three‑ and six‑month tenors while the 12‑month rate fell; the three‑month rose to 2.033%, the six‑month to 2.143% and the 12‑month stood at 2.248%. These short‑term oscillations can influence variable‑rate mortgages and refinancing costs in the weeks ahead. Mortgage holders and prospective buyers should check loan indexation clauses and lender notices for immediate impacts.

Dinheiro Vivo reports that buying a house in metropolitan and tourist areas in Portugal can be up to seven times more expensive than elsewhere, with Lisbon averaging around €650,000 and other hot spots like Madeira and Faro also well above national norms. The data underline stark regional price divergence that affects affordability and relocation choices. Those searching for housing should factor in significant local premiums and consider suburban or inland alternatives.

The Recuperar Portugal mission structure said the eighth payment request under the Recovery and Resilience Plan (PRR) — submitted to Brussels in November 2025 — is expected to be paid in February. The announcement gives a tentative timeline for a tranche of EU funds that support national investments under the PRR framework. Project managers and local authorities awaiting PRR cashflows should note the projected month and prepare for administrative steps tied to the payment.

The Government said it is aware of contextual, geopolitical and structural risks to meeting the milestones and targets of the Recovery and Resilience Plan (Plano de Recuperação e Resiliência or PRR) but insisted it remains politically committed to mitigating those risks. Officials framed the challenges as linked to complexity rather than a lack of will, and said they will work to keep projects on track. Taxpayers and recipients of PRR-funded services should note the risk of delays or slower roll-out of projects tied to the plan.

A market report highlights Lisbon — especially historic centre parishes such as Santa Maria Maior, Santo António and Misericórdia — consolidating as a European option for North American buyers, with foreign demand concentrated in central neighbourhoods. Consultants say the trend reflects both lifestyle demand and investor interest, which can push prices and reduce rental stock in prime areas. Those seeking housing in Lisbon should note increased competition in central districts and check neighbourhood supply if relocating or investing.

Reporting says the Government is monitoring negotiations between Galp and Spain’s Moeve on a deal that would combine parts of their assets and create two new platforms, with ministers stressing strategic energy assets and national energy sovereignty are at stake. Officials are watching to ensure any transaction protects critical infrastructure and interests. Entrepreneurs and energy-sector observers should be aware that a deal could affect local supply chains, jobs and investment decisions in the coming months.

TAP is investing €20 million to build a new aircraft maintenance hub and hangar in Porto, a project due to take two years and expected to create about 200 jobs. The move is intended to increase the carrier’s maintenance self-sufficiency, reduce outsourcing and boost operational autonomy as the airline undergoes privatisation, while Porto’s network will be strengthened with services to Terceira, Praia, Tel Aviv and an enhanced link to Boston.

Confagri — the confederation representing Portuguese agriculture interests — told media the government's upbeat stance on the EU‑Mercosur agreement is premature and urged more public and private investment in the agri‑food sector to protect producers. Observador and RTP report Confagri wants safeguards and support so domestic farmers can compete if the trade deal advances. For expats in agri‑business or rural areas: watch later announcements on subsidies, market access and support programmes which can affect regional economies and local services.

A Lisbon Administrative and Tax Court ruled in favour of Banco de Portugal in a test case brought by international funds (including names reported such as BlackRock and PIMCO) challenging the BES resolution, dismissing compensation claims that exceeded €2 billion. The ruling clears the central bank of the claims in this case and reduces a legal overhang for regulators and public finances, though other suits may persist. For expats in finance or holding Portuguese-linked securities, the decision matters for market confidence and signals lower immediate risk of a large central-bank payout related to BES.

Compete will open five funding calls in January for large companies, accounting for roughly one third of the programme’s corporate allocation under Portugal 2030, the agency’s president told ECO dos Fundos. The calls come with strengthened support rates aimed at accelerating project implementation and unlocking private investment. For large firms, the tranche presents a concentrated opportunity to secure EU-backed grants that could expedite capital expenditure, support job-creating projects and align corporate investment with Portugal 2030 priorities. The measure also signals an administrative push to deploy funds faster, with potential sectoral and regional impacts depending on application uptake and award conditions.

Compete will launch a clean-up operation to revoke PT2030 support for projects that were approved but have not started implementation within three months. The review aims to free up EU funding tied to non-executed projects; affected business owners should expect revocation letters beginning in February. The move signals a stricter enforcement of grant timelines and should prompt beneficiaries either to commence work promptly or risk losing allocated support, allowing funds to be reallocated to active projects.

Presidential candidate André Pestana argues that funds currently routed to private healthcare providers should instead be invested in the NHS. He says greater NHS investment would strengthen health professionals' careers and deliver practical improvements — for example, better ambulances available sooner — reducing reliance on private sector services.

The executive director of AM48 — a property developer managing over €220m in assets — says the housing package has been well received by the sector but warns that there are insufficient financial instruments to enable companies to deliver the programme. She welcomes the government's policy direction but highlights a gap in project financing that could limit implementation and investment. Without targeted credit lines, risk-sharing mechanisms or incentives for private developers, market momentum may stall despite positive policy measures. Strengthening specific financing tools and public–private cooperation is needed to translate the package into completed housing projects.

The prime minister announced what was described as “the largest investment in ambulances in over a decade” — 275 new vehicles — less than 36 hours after three citizens were reported to have died while waiting for care. Critics have called the timing “strange” and labelled the move demagoguery, arguing it risks masking systemic negligence in emergency services rather than addressing deeper policy and resourcing failures in healthcare and public safety. The episode has intensified calls for transparent planning, independent oversight and comprehensive reforms to emergency medical services rather than one-off equipment purchases.

Galp and Moeve have entered detailed talks to combine their refining operations and filling-station networks, a complex transaction that is likely to be lengthy and closely scrutinised. The Portuguese Communist Party has already criticised the proposed deal and the government will have a role in the approval process, raising political as well as regulatory stakes. The transaction will test Brussels’ evolving approach to competition and regulation in the energy sector, with implications for pricing, investment and market structure in Portugal.

Companies are increasingly sensitive to competition issues as competition law enters a phase of expectation and apparent transformation, according to Sara M. Rodrigues, senior associate and co-ordinator of Eversheds Sutherland’s Competition, Trade and Foreign Investment Department. Rodrigues warns that investigations have ongoing consequences and that regulators — and firms — must recognise that processes do not end with the initial investigation conclusion, heightening the need for robust compliance, legal preparedness and attention to reform and enforcement trends.

JP Morgan analysts Aditya Chordia and Matteo Mamprin assign a roughly 50% probability that Moody’s will upgrade Portugal’s sovereign credit rating at its scheduled review in May, putting an upgrade within about four and a half months. The bank’s view reflects an assessment that Portugal’s improving economic fundamentals, fiscal position and lower borrowing costs have materially strengthened its credit profile, reducing downside risks. An upgrade as soon as May would tighten financing spreads, reinforce investor confidence and mark another step in Portugal’s long post‑crisis recovery; market participants should monitor sovereign metrics and rating signals in the run‑up to the review.

The National Institute of Statistics (INE) will reassess in March the classification of Novobanco's dividends, potentially allowing that income to be recognised in last year’s national accounts. If reclassified to count towards the previous budget balance, the adjustment could provide an extra boost to help the Portuguese Government meet or exceed its 0.3% surplus target for 2025. The move would alter headline fiscal metrics, affect timing of revenue recognition in national accounts, and carry implications for public finance reporting, investor perceptions and future treatment of similar banking transactions.

The article analyses a surge in national defence innovation driven by a €5.8 billion SAFE loan—the largest single investment in the Armed Forces—positioning defence as a strategic area for both European and national investors. Key growth areas include drones, satellites and aircraft, with emphasis on R&D, dual‑use technologies and strengthened aerospace supply chains that can create jobs and boost exports. The piece examines how procurement reform, public‑private partnerships and targeted skills development are needed to translate investment into sustained industrial capacity and economic impact. It concludes that coherent policy and sustained funding will be essential to maximise technological and economic returns.

Julien Jarjoura, an investor based in Switzerland, has acquired Claire’s European business, preserving roughly 200 jobs in Portugal and maintaining the brand’s retail footprint across Europe. The purchase effectively separates the continental operation from insolvency proceedings affecting Claire’s in the United States, the United Kingdom and Ireland, stabilising local employment and stores while broader group restructuring and creditor processes continue.

Despite public reticence from Virgílio Lima, the Mutualist Association has reportedly decided not to reappoint Pedro Leitão as CEO of Banco Montepio after his mandate expired at the end of last year. The bank is said to have settled on José Azevedo Pereira — a former director — as the successor. The move signals a leadership change at Banco Montepio that will shape its strategic direction and investor and member relations going forward.

Buenavista Equity Partners, an investor in Portuguese language-technology startup Unbabel, has filed a legal challenge to the sale that transferred control of the company to US firm TransPerfect. The fund lodged the action a few days before Christmas, according to public records on the Citius portal cited by ECO. The court filing formally disputes the transaction and brings the acquisition into the judicial realm, potentially affecting the deal's implementation.

Real-time analytical coverage of financial markets and economic developments on 6 January, including market moves, key data releases and macro indicators. Commentary focuses on consumer confidence and cost pressures, investor sentiment and flows, implications for investors and expat households, and the significance of today’s indicators for policy and markets.

After Portugal’s Tekever became a unicorn, 2026 looks set to remain a liquid year for investors despite geopolitical uncertainties that are reshaping financial markets. Venture capital will continue to favour AI startups, but a growing emphasis on dual‑use and defence‑adjacent technologies means investors will weigh strong commercial upside against ethical, regulatory and geopolitical risks. The year will therefore be defined by opportunities for tech and defence crossover, active deal‑making, and increased scrutiny from policymakers and funds alike.

Time is the investor’s most powerful and underappreciated ally: by favouring patience and discipline it smooths short-term errors, magnifies successful decisions through compounding and reduces the need for frequent market timing. Adopting a long-term horizon, appropriate risk management and consistent investing habits lets individuals — including expats with cross-border financial challenges — harness tempo and time to improve outcomes. The article explains why time beats timing, how compounding and volatility smoothing work, and practical steps for long-term personal and expatriate investing strategies.

Portugal’s stock market posted its strongest annual performance since 2009, driving an aggregate increase of more than €2.5 billion in the value of the country’s largest stock-market fortunes. Broad gains across most listed shares lifted prominent families — notably the Azevedo family — and highlighted the market’s role as an economic indicator for investors and expats. The move suggests improved investor confidence and greater wealth concentration among major shareholders, with implications for portfolio strategies and domestic capital flows in 2025.

Thirteen years after the US fund Lone Star used a strategy to monetise a state-backed bank stake in Portugal (Novo Banco) — reportedly pocketing about €5bn while exiting without major penalties — South Korea intervened to stop the same playbook from succeeding at a Korean bank backed by public support. The episode highlights divergent regulatory outcomes across jurisdictions: stronger Korean safeguards and political scrutiny protected the public interest and state budget, while Portuguese arrangements enabled a lucrative, low-accountability exit for a private investor. The contrast underscores how supervision, takeover rules and fiscal exposure shape investor returns and public risk in cross-border bank restructurings.