Commentator Miguel Pinheiro argues that with three weeks of campaigning left “a lot can happen,” particularly because André Ventura and António José Seguro must both court the same pool of voters. Seguro’s progression to the second round is framed as a personal victory “despite the Socialist Party,” while the forthcoming run-off forces a liberal dilemma: abstaining from backing Seguro would not weaken the PS but would undermine liberalism. The contest is cast as Seguro’s “democracy against extremism” versus Ventura’s “the right against the PS,” leaving centrist and liberal voters with a strategic choice that could shape Portugal’s political balance.









