A Católica poll shows António José Seguro winning with 70% and managing to pick up more than half of the votes that Cotrim Figueiredo, Gouveia e Melo and Marques Mendes received in the first round.
Seguro crushes Ventura in second round with 70% and could match Soares' record

Context & Explainers

Socialist Party (PS)
- Leader: José Luís Carneiro (since June 2025)
- Ideology: Center-left, Social democracy, pro-Europeanism
Portugal's other traditional major party suffered a historic collapse in the 2025 election, dropping from 78 to 58 seats and falling to third place for the first time in democratic history. The party was led by Pedro Nuno Santos from January 2024 until his resignation following the May 2025 defeat. José Luís Carneiro, a 53-year-old former Minister of Internal Administration known for his moderate positioning within the party, was elected unopposed as the new Secretary-General with 95% of votes in June 2025. The Socialist Party governed Portugal from 2015 to 2024, including an absolute majority from 2022 to 2024 under António Costa, who resigned in November 2023 amid a corruption investigation. The PS previously led the innovative "Geringonça" (contraption) coalition government from 2015-2019, a minority government supported by the Left Bloc and Portuguese Communist Party that reversed austerity measures and presided over economic recovery.
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Other news coverage of this topic
- The useful blank vote12:00am, 24 Jan 2026 • Observador
- The Bridge and the Abyss12:00am, 24 Jan 2026 • Observador
- Second round of the Presidential election – The third choice: the blank vote12:00am, 24 Jan 2026 • Observador
- Polls give Seguro victory in the second round of the election9:50pm, 23 Jan 2026 • Observador
- Ventura accuses opponent of being afraid to debate. "I can only laugh," replies Seguro9:23pm, 23 Jan 2026 • Público
- Ventura on IL's stance: 'All that's missing is a political funeral'9:15pm, 23 Jan 2026 • Observador
- Seguro wants to be elected with the anti‑Ventura vote8:46pm, 23 Jan 2026 • RTP Notícias
- Seguro on the vote: "It is important to have a very high level of legitimacy"8:42pm, 23 Jan 2026 • RTP Notícias
- Ventura accuses Seguro of avoiding debates8:23pm, 23 Jan 2026 • Correio da Manhã
- Poll puts Seguro well ahead of Ventura8:15pm, 23 Jan 2026 • Expresso
- Presidential election: New poll puts Seguro ahead of Ventura with 70% of the vote8:11pm, 23 Jan 2026 • ECO
- Second-round poll: Is Seguro really going to crush Ventura?8:02pm, 23 Jan 2026 • Público
- Catholic University poll: Seguro with a large lead over Ventura in the second round7:59pm, 23 Jan 2026 • RTP Notícias






