Tracking poll news in Portugal

Latest news and stories about tracking poll in Portugal for expats and residents.

Recent articles

Tracking poll, day 9: a trend is beginning to form for the presidential election

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Day nine of the Tracking Poll, reported by Pedro Benevides, shows a growing three-way dynamic in the Portuguese presidential race: António José Seguro, André Ventura and João Cotrim de Figueiredo are pulling ahead of Henrique Gouveia e Melo and Luís Marques Mendes. The pattern suggests the contest may crystallise into a three-way fight in the final campaign days, and — with the exception of Chega's leader — most main contenders have yet to secure full backing from their own bases.

CNN Portugal13 Jan

Tracking poll, day 9: a trend is beginning to form for the presidential election

Seguro on a downward trend and increase in blank and null votes: Tracking poll — day 6

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In TVI/CNN Portugal's daily poll, António José Seguro registers 56.2%, maintaining a comfortable lead over André Ventura despite a downward trend in recent days. The tracking poll for the presidential runoff also shows a consistent rise in voters who say they would cast a blank or null ballot, signalling a protest vote, while undecided voters decline.

CNN Portugal1 Feb

Seguro on a downward trend and increase in blank and null votes: Tracking poll — day 6

15:00 — Tracking poll: António José Seguro leads with 60.9%

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António José Seguro leads the first tracking poll of the second round, conducted by Pitagórica. Civil Protection is at maximum state of readiness for the coastal area between Viana do Castelo and Setúbal.

Observador27 Jan

15:00 — Tracking poll: António José Seguro leads with 60.9%

Tracking poll: Seguro remains ahead of Ventura in the presidential second round

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If the elections were held today, 60.9% of voters would vote for António José Seguro, 26.5% for André Ventura and 5.3% would cast blank or null votes. 7.3% of Portuguese voters are still undecided. These are the results without allocation of undecided voters from the first day of the tracking poll for the presidential second round, carried out by Pitagórica for TVI, CNN Portugal, ...

ECO27 Jan

Tracking poll: Seguro remains ahead of Ventura in the presidential second round

Tracking poll — second round, day 1: voters who backed Cotrim, Gouveia e Melo and Marques Mendes lean towards Seguro (but many undecided)

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There are more people unsure who to vote for on 8 February among supporters of the Iniciativa Liberal candidate. Among them there are also several who have already decided to cast a blank or even an invalid vote.

CNN Portugal27 Jan

Tracking poll — second round, day 1: voters who backed Cotrim, Gouveia e Melo and Marques Mendes lean towards Seguro (but many undecided)

Tracking poll, second round, day 1: Seguro well ahead of Ventura, both with many committed supporters and a high rejection rate. Cotrim voters are the most undecided

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The tracking poll for the presidential election second round is live. On the first day, António José Seguro begins comfortably ahead. There is still much to watch, including the intentions of those who voted for Cotrim, Mendes and Gouveia e Melo in the first round.

CNN Portugal27 Jan

Tracking poll, second round, day 1: Seguro well ahead of Ventura, both with many committed supporters and a high rejection rate. Cotrim voters are the most undecided

Polls can change in the second round — and here's why

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Alexandre Picoto, head of Pitagórica, explains how the process behind TVI/CNN Portugal's tracking poll allowed monitoring of voting trends over time and produced results that closely reflect reality.

CNN Portugal19 Jan

Polls can change in the second round — and here's why

Voters link information from the Tracking Poll to their 'decision-making' but 'are able to make that decision without being influenced by the data collected'

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Nuno Santos, director of CNN Portugal, reflects on the role of the TVI/CNN Portugal Tracking Poll in the presidential campaign, notably on whether it has changed the voting intentions of the Portuguese, who, he recalls, 'have sufficient information to make an informed decision when they go to vote, without it being solely influenced by the information collected.'

CNN Portugal19 Jan

Voters link information from the Tracking Poll to their 'decision-making' but 'are able to make that decision without being influenced by the data collected'

On the right, there is a battle between Cotrim and Marques Mendes to prevent André Ventura reaching the second round

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<p>Pedro Tadeu analyses the <a href="https://cnnportugal.iol.pt/videos/tracking-poll-dia-11-penultimo-dia-da-sondagem-diaria-e-e-assim-que-as-coisas-estao/696958900cf24e58d783c970">tracking poll</a> by CNN Portugal, which keeps André José Seguro, André Ventura and Cotrim de Figueiredo in the top three candidates in a technical tie for the lead.</p>

CNN Portugal16 Jan

On the right, there is a battle between Cotrim and Marques Mendes to prevent André Ventura reaching the second round

The poll that annoys everyone

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A tracking poll has become an unexpected focal point of the campaign and the target of daily criticism. What does it measure, how reliable is it, and why did it get things wrong in the past? Conversation with Alexandre Picoto.

Observador16 Jan

Presidential race will "be a three-way contest until the final". "I wouldn't put money on this"

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Miguel Pinheiro, a commentator for CNN Portugal, analyses the results of this Tuesday's tracking poll.

CNN Portugal13 Jan

Presidential race will "be a three-way contest until the final". "I wouldn't put money on this"

What we saw yesterday was a perfect storm ravaging Cotrim Figueiredo's campaign

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Commentator João Marcelino analyses the results of CNN Portugal's tracking poll as the campaign progresses: “What we saw yesterday was a perfect storm ravaging Cotrim Figueiredo's candidacy. A serious personal crisis, political mistakes and the communications effort — which is perhaps the best we have seen in this campaign — are also making many mistakes.”

CNN Portugal13 Jan