Latest news and stories about political strategy in Portugal for expats and residents.
This page has only 1 story and is not indexed by search engines.
On the final day of the election campaign, João Marcelino analyses the changes in voting intentions for the presidential candidates, assuming that António José Seguro “will probably be in the second round” and that second place will be taken either by André Ventura or by Cotrim de Figueiredo.

The answer can be summed up like this: if Ventura became President of the Republic he would be politically 'castrated', which would have very negative consequences for Chega's subsequent electoral results.

Cotrim's slip was seized on by Mendes to dramatise an appeal for tactical voting. Not seeking miracles, he received a public declaration of affection and help in attacking the opinion polls.

Only candidates from the 'centrão' (the centrist bloc) have avoided launching a fierce attack on President Marcelo Rebelo de Sousa.
The candidate backed by the PS (Socialist Party) refuses to respond to opponents' provocations and presents himself as a unifier, seeking support from the left right through to the right. There's even a whiff of Soares from 1986 energising him.

Known for verbal aggression in previous campaigns, André Ventura now chooses not to respond to opponents' provocations, arguing that exchanges of accusations do not interest the Portuguese, who prefer to hear about the issues that affect the country.

Liberals on social media are trying to woo Chega voters by pointing to the possible election of a 'socialist'. Ventura is following the tactic and has already urged Montenegro to join him to prevent Seguro from becoming President.
In an attempt to win votes on the right, Cotrim Figueiredo is aligning himself with the Government, but he risks alienating his own voters. Also: the obsession with Passos Coelho and the letter to Montenegro.

With five candidates in a technical tie, Seguro and Jorge Pinto should reach an understanding. Each must take a step towards the other to increase the chances of the former being elected.

Candidate invokes social-democratic credentials to try to win over Mendes's electorate

Henrique Gouveia e Melo has come in with full force using an aggressive strategy and is lashing out at all his opponents. Marques Mendes, meanwhile, doesn't know whether to back away or to stick even closer to Montenegro.

A more interventionist president is someone who, with the personal legitimacy of the vote, conditions the government. Ventura knows this — and he also knows that Mendes, in the second round, is a perfect target waiting to be brought down.

After months of internal tensions, PAN will also approve the political strategy for the next two years. Also, António José Seguro today discloses the list of clients from whom he received money.

Carneiro says that votes for Seguro would secure the left's place in the second round of the election.
