Latest news and stories about voting intentions in Portugal for expats and residents.
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If the elections were held today, over 80 percent of voters would participate, and António José Seguro would have a clear victory with a significant margin over André Ventura. This is indicated by the voting intentions of 1,601 randomly selected individuals who participated in a survey by the Catholic University of Portugal.
In a second round, Seguro has double Ventura's share of voting intentions and even commands majority support among men, young people and Portuguese with lower levels of education — groups typically more aligned with Chega's leader. Only Cotrim's voters are hesitant.
António Tavares, the former campaign representative of Gouveia e Melo, votes for Seguro. He believes the admiral will do the same. The campaign director for Marques Mendes has no doubts about the candidate's voting intention.
“I have just personally congratulated Dr António José Seguro and Dr André Ventura on progressing to the second round,” Henrique Gouveia e Melo began, saying in a speech at his campaign headquarters in reaction to the results.
The candidate backed by the PS is ahead in the survey with 24.2% of voter preferences. Also, André Ventura says it is a “good gift” that Cavaco Silva has joined the electoral campaign.
The penultimate tracking poll before Sunday’s presidential election indicates that the top three candidates, in a technical tie for the lead, continue to stand out from the other contenders. António José Seguro is the fastest growing, now at 24.2% of voting intentions (up 1.6 percentage points); André Ventura consolidates second place with a rise to 22.9% (up 0.9 percentage points); and João Cotrim de Figueiredo remains in third, at 21.1%, up 0.8 percentage points from the last measurement.
If the presidential election were held today, André Ventura and António José Seguro would advance to a second round. A major survey by the Catholic University for RTP, Público and Antena1, released this Tuesday, shows the candidate backed by Chega in first place, with 24% of voting intentions, followed very closely by the Socialist candidate, who polls ...
Ventura remains at 20.5%, but Seguro falls in voting intentions. Cotrim thanks supporters and closes the gap as he distances himself from Henrique Gouveia e Melo, who sees Marques Mendes growing ever closer.
Rui Calafate analyses the data from CNN Portugal's tracking poll released this Friday, highlighting the surge in voting intentions for Cotrim Figueiredo.
Daily tracking poll data also show Marques Mendes regaining some ground on Gouveia e Melo, who is closing in on Cotrim Figueiredo. Seguro is the only candidate in the top five to register a fall in voting intentions, which already reflect the impact of the tracking poll and the start of the campaign. The number of undecided voters has never been so low.
If one takes into account the 3.16% margin of error of the December poll by Pitagórica, carried out for Jornal de Notícias, TSF, TVI and CNN Portugal, we are faced with an unprecedented scenario in the presidential campaign: the five candidates with the highest voting intentions are separated by ...
