Latest news and stories about election polls in Portugal for expats and residents.
An analytical examination of the makeshift coalition shaping the presidential race, focusing on the left’s manoeuvres around Miguel Santos Carrapatoso. The piece explores candidates who don’t fit the dominant blocs, withdrawals that remain tentative, and polling that currently favours Seguro, assessing the strategic, policy and electoral implications of these shifting alignments.
Seguro remains ahead in the polls, but Ventura has a more mobilised voter base. There are undecided voters and a decisive head-to-head that could alter Seguro's lead.
Experts acknowledge that opinion polls influenced the first round of the presidential election, but say voters should have access to “information” to make decisions.
Polls point to a comfortable victory for António José Seguro in the second round of the presidential election. Pedro Duarte believes that abstention could pose a danger, particularly because of the media impact of the polls.
António José Seguro campaigned in Porto today. The candidate continues to gather support on the way to the second round. Cautious, he avoids getting carried away by the polls and stresses that they do not decide elections.
This time the polls were among the winners of election night: overall, they were accurate. If they continue to be, we already know what will happen on 8 February.
In the four polls that modelled a Seguro–Ventura matchup, the Socialist candidate won by a wide margin, but one survey sets a higher ceiling for the Chega leader's potential gains. Montenegro's neutrality could also help him increase his support.
Poll projections indicate António José Seguro will reach the second round, with Ventura likewise almost guaranteed to advance.
Both the Expresso/SIC poll and the Católica poll place Gouveia e Melo in fifth place.
António José Seguro won the first round of the presidential election this Sunday, while André Ventura appears to have an advantage over João Cotrim de Figueiredo for second place, but still within the margins of error, according to exit polls released by the television stations. The three polls released by the broadcasters give a clear victory to ...
In less than 24 hours three polls were published suggesting André Ventura will advance to the presidential run-off, but they leave open who will take the other spot in the final race for Belém Palace. The Católica poll places António José Seguro in that position, as does the ...
António Gomes, of GfK, describes the phrase 'there are polls for every taste' as 'unfortunate' and says there are 'generally minimal differences' between the various surveys.
Gouveia e Melo says he is confident he will make it to the second round and criticises his opponents. Meanwhile, João Cotrim de Figueiredo praises the result of the Catholic University poll for RTP.
Gouveia e Melo and Marques Mendes are increasingly out of contention for the second round. Seguro and Ventura lead the polls, but Cotrim still has a solid chance of securing one of the spots. The left is at low levels.
Presidential candidate speaks of manipulated opinion polls.
Luís Marques Mendes says election day will show that the opinion polls 'failed spectacularly'. In Viana do Castelo he again faced criticism over the state of the country's healthcare and argued that a change in the organisational model of the National Health Service (SNS) is needed.
It appears five are tied. Who will be best in the final sprint?
In an interview with Observador, the heads of the main polling companies defend this instrument, lament that the numbers are being misread and warn: anything could happen on the 18th.
In view of the several polls released recently, Ventura concluded he needs to focus on Chega voters and that they must be convinced before 'expanding' to AD.
Presidential candidate Gouveia e Melo said today he believes there is an “intentionality in the numbers” being presented in opinion polls about the election on the 18th, but he declined to elaborate on his claim.
André Ventura has encountered strong support and few confrontations in the streets. The party Livre has dismissed the polls from the start, and now Jorge Pinto ignores the one that places Ventura behind Manuel João Vieira.
Marques Mendes, Seguro and Gouveia e Melo would beat Ventura in a second round. Seguro only beats the leader of Chega.
