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IMF raises global forecast; eurozone growth remains modest

Monday, 19 January 2026AI summary
IMF raises global forecast; eurozone growth remains modest

The International Monetary Fund raised its global growth forecast for 2026 to 3.3% in an updated World Economic Outlook, citing strength in the US and China. The IMF expects the euro area to expand by about 1.3% in 2026 and 1.4% in 2027, a modest pace that could limit regional export demand even as global activity lifts markets. Portuguese exporters and investors should monitor sector‑specific outlooks and exchange‑rate effects, while business owners may face mixed signals for demand and financing costs.

Context & Explainers

The International Monetary Fund (IMF) is a global organisation that monitors the world economy, provides policy advice, and offers financial support and technical assistance to its member countries; it is led by Kristalina Georgieva. Its forecasts and reports influence markets and national policies — for example, the IMF recently raised its 2026 global growth forecast to about 3.0%.

The World Economic Outlook (WEO) is the IMF’s flagship report that provides global and country-level economic forecasts, analysis, and policy commentary used by governments, investors and analysts. In the latest update published this Monday the WEO revised up its 2026 global growth forecast to roughly 3.0%, a figure watched closely by markets and policymakers.

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