Abstention projected at 35–43%. Participation hasn't been this high for two decades

Sunday, 18 January 2026RSS
Abstention projected at 35–43%. Participation hasn't been this high for two decades

Projections of abstention in this Sunday’s presidential election range from 35.6% to 43%, compared with an abstention rate of 60.76% in the 2021 elections. The official abstention rate can only be established after the vote count, once the polls have closed. The Católica poll for RTP indicates ...

Context & Explainers

Abstention is when eligible voters choose not to vote; it is usually reported as the percentage of registered voters who do not cast a ballot. A falling abstention rate can change electoral outcomes and boost the perceived legitimacy of the result, so a predicted drop — including among younger voters — matters for how parties and candidates plan campaigning and turnout efforts.

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