Economist Filipe Grilo explains that the EU–Mercosur agreement is expected to start producing economic effects only from October, after several stages of ratification. Portugal could benefit from exports of wine, olive oil and aeronautical components, although some European agricultural sectors will face increased competition.
At best, the EU–Mercosur agreement will only come into force in October
Saturday, 17 January 2026RSS
Context & Explainers
Mercosur (Mercado Comum do Sul) is South America's largest trade bloc, comprising Brazil, Argentina, Uruguay, and Paraguay as full members. It has been negotiating a landmark free trade agreement with the European Union for over two decades.
The EU-Mercosur deal matters for Portugal because of the country's deep historical, cultural, and economic ties with Brazil — Portugal's largest non-EU trading partner and home to the biggest Portuguese diaspora community. A deal would reduce tariffs on European exports (including Portuguese wine, olive oil, and textiles) while opening EU markets to South American agricultural products (beef, soy, sugar, ethanol).
Portuguese farmers, particularly in the beef and dairy sectors, have expressed concern about competition from lower-cost South American producers. Environmental groups have criticized the deal over deforestation risks in the Amazon. The agreement requires ratification by all EU member states and the European Parliament, making its passage politically complex.
