Portugal is the only country in Europe to record excess mortality

Monday, 12 January 2026RSS
Portugal is the only country in Europe to record excess mortality

There are already more than 2,600 deaths above the expected number. This is the thirtieth consecutive day of a trend that continues at the start of the year.

Context & Explainers

Excess mortality is the number of deaths above what would be expected based on historical averages (commonly a multi‑year baseline), and it captures deaths directly and indirectly caused by events like epidemics, heatwaves or healthcare disruptions. Portugal’s public health institute INSA (Instituto Nacional de Saúde Doutor Ricardo Jorge) monitors excess mortality to see the broader impact of seasonal illnesses and other stresses on the health system, so a drop in flu cases does not automatically mean overall mortality has returned to normal. Those following public‑health trends should note excess‑mortality figures because they show the pandemic and other factors’ continuing effect on population health.

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