The article explores the debate surrounding Artificial General Intelligence (AGI), contrasting the optimistic, short-term predictions of tech leaders like Elon Musk and Ilya Sutskever with the more cautious, long-term perspective of Meta's Yann LeCun. LeCun argues that current Large Language Models (LLMs) lack a 'world model' and sensory understanding, making them insufficient for achieving human-level intelligence. The author concludes by referencing Alain Tanner's 1976 film 'Jonas Who Will Be 25 in the Year 2000' to highlight the power of social inertia and suggest that technological change often occurs much more slowly than industry hype implies.